UST998008I4 - Computer system and method for decision tree analysis - Google Patents
Computer system and method for decision tree analysis Download PDFInfo
- Publication number
- UST998008I4 UST998008I4 US05/955,823 US95582378A UST998008I4 US T998008 I4 UST998008 I4 US T998008I4 US 95582378 A US95582378 A US 95582378A US T998008 I4 UST998008 I4 US T998008I4
- Authority
- US
- United States
- Prior art keywords
- decision
- path
- display
- expectation
- computer
- Prior art date
- Legal status (The legal status is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the status listed.)
- Pending
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Classifications
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
-
- G—PHYSICS
- G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
- G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
- G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
- G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
- G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management
Abstract
A tool to aid decision-makers in making non-programmed decisions in an uncertain environment. A small computer having graphic display capabilities is combined with a program which provides the means for operating the computer directly by the decision-maker. Problems are stated in decision-tree format with the decision-maker providing probabilities for chance events, terminal values and points on his preference curve. The computer makes choices at decision nodes on the basis of maximization of expected value or utility and displays both the expectation of the project and the decision path. Automated sensitivity analysis is provided to determine those probabilities lying on the decision path which are most sensitive in changing either that path or the expectation. In addition, the effects of varying the probability of any selected branch may be determined. Instructions appear on the display and the user's response is by selecting a program alternate with the light pen or typing a numeral. All results are given on the display.
Priority Applications (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
US05/955,823 UST998008I4 (en) | 1978-10-30 | 1978-10-30 | Computer system and method for decision tree analysis |
Applications Claiming Priority (1)
Application Number | Priority Date | Filing Date | Title |
---|---|---|---|
US05/955,823 UST998008I4 (en) | 1978-10-30 | 1978-10-30 | Computer system and method for decision tree analysis |
Related Parent Applications (1)
Application Number | Title | Priority Date | Filing Date |
---|---|---|---|
US05537305 Continuation | 1974-12-30 |
Publications (1)
Publication Number | Publication Date |
---|---|
UST998008I4 true UST998008I4 (en) | 1980-09-02 |
Family
ID=25497402
Family Applications (1)
Application Number | Title | Priority Date | Filing Date |
---|---|---|---|
US05/955,823 Pending UST998008I4 (en) | 1978-10-30 | 1978-10-30 | Computer system and method for decision tree analysis |
Country Status (1)
Country | Link |
---|---|
US (1) | UST998008I4 (en) |
Cited By (9)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
US4992939A (en) * | 1988-08-05 | 1991-02-12 | Tyler Brian G | Method of producing narrative analytical report |
US5262941A (en) * | 1990-03-30 | 1993-11-16 | Itt Corporation | Expert credit recommendation method and system |
US5406477A (en) * | 1991-08-30 | 1995-04-11 | Digital Equipment Corporation | Multiple reasoning and result reconciliation for enterprise analysis |
US5734890A (en) * | 1994-09-12 | 1998-03-31 | Gartner Group | System and method for analyzing procurement decisions and customer satisfaction |
US5953707A (en) * | 1995-10-26 | 1999-09-14 | Philips Electronics North America Corporation | Decision support system for the management of an agile supply chain |
US6012051A (en) * | 1997-02-06 | 2000-01-04 | America Online, Inc. | Consumer profiling system with analytic decision processor |
US20030182177A1 (en) * | 2002-03-25 | 2003-09-25 | Gallagher March S. | Collective hierarchical decision making system |
US6684188B1 (en) | 1996-02-02 | 2004-01-27 | Geoffrey C Mitchell | Method for production of medical records and other technical documents |
US7016887B2 (en) | 2001-01-03 | 2006-03-21 | Accelrys Software Inc. | Methods and systems of classifying multiple properties simultaneously using a decision tree |
-
1978
- 1978-10-30 US US05/955,823 patent/UST998008I4/en active Pending
Cited By (9)
Publication number | Priority date | Publication date | Assignee | Title |
---|---|---|---|---|
US4992939A (en) * | 1988-08-05 | 1991-02-12 | Tyler Brian G | Method of producing narrative analytical report |
US5262941A (en) * | 1990-03-30 | 1993-11-16 | Itt Corporation | Expert credit recommendation method and system |
US5406477A (en) * | 1991-08-30 | 1995-04-11 | Digital Equipment Corporation | Multiple reasoning and result reconciliation for enterprise analysis |
US5734890A (en) * | 1994-09-12 | 1998-03-31 | Gartner Group | System and method for analyzing procurement decisions and customer satisfaction |
US5953707A (en) * | 1995-10-26 | 1999-09-14 | Philips Electronics North America Corporation | Decision support system for the management of an agile supply chain |
US6684188B1 (en) | 1996-02-02 | 2004-01-27 | Geoffrey C Mitchell | Method for production of medical records and other technical documents |
US6012051A (en) * | 1997-02-06 | 2000-01-04 | America Online, Inc. | Consumer profiling system with analytic decision processor |
US7016887B2 (en) | 2001-01-03 | 2006-03-21 | Accelrys Software Inc. | Methods and systems of classifying multiple properties simultaneously using a decision tree |
US20030182177A1 (en) * | 2002-03-25 | 2003-09-25 | Gallagher March S. | Collective hierarchical decision making system |
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