Item 2.02                      Results of Operations and Financial 

Condition.



In connection with the Notes Offering (described in Item 8.01 below), Fossil
Group, Inc. (the "Company", "we" or "us") is providing the following preliminary
estimated unaudited financial information.

Preliminary Estimated Unaudited Financial Results



Our financial results as of and for the three months ended October 2, 2021 are
not yet complete. The forward-looking information presented below reflects our
preliminary estimated unaudited results based solely on information available to
us as of the date of this Current Report on Form 8-K. We have provided ranges
for certain items rather than specific amounts since our financial closing
procedures are not yet complete as of and for the three months ended October 2,
2021. Actual results are not expected to be publicly available until we file our
consolidated financial statements and related notes as of for the three months
ended October 2, 2021 with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"). These
preliminary estimates do not present a comprehensive statement of our
consolidated results for the three months ended October 2, 2021 and should not
be used as a substitute for interim financial statements prepared in accordance
with generally accepted accounting principles in the United States ("GAAP"). You
should not place undue reliance on these estimates. This preliminary estimated
unaudited financial information has been prepared by and is the responsibility
of our management. Our independent registered public accounting firm, Deloitte &
Touche, LLP, has not audited, reviewed, compiled nor performed any procedures
with respect to the preliminary estimated unaudited financial results and
therefore does not express an opinion or any other form of assurance with
respect to these preliminary estimates. We currently expect that our final
results of operations and other data will be consistent with the estimates set
forth in this Current Report on Form 8-K, however such estimates are preliminary
and our actual results of operations and other data could differ materially from
these preliminary estimates due to the completion of our financial closing
procedures, final adjustments, review procedures to be performed by our
management and audit committee and other developments that may arise between now
and the time our unaudited interim consolidated financial statements as of and
for the three months ended October 2, 2021 are issued.

We expect our results to include:



•Net sales within the range of $490 to $494 million for the three months ended
October 2, 2021, an increase of approximately 13% versus $435 million for the
three months ended October 3, 2020 and within the range of $1,792 to $1,796
million for the twelve months ended October 2, 2021 (the "LTM period");

•Income before income taxes within the range of $38 million and $43 million for
the three months ended October 2, 2021, an increase of approximately 322% to
378% versus $9 million for the three months ended October 3, 2020 and within the
range of $34 million and $39 million for the LTM period; and

•Adjusted EBITDA within the range of $59 million and $64 million for the three
months ended October 2, 2021, an increase of approximately 37% to 49% versus $43
million for the three months ended October 3, 2020 and within the range of $147
and $152 million for the LTM period.

Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. We define Adjusted EBITDA as
our income (loss) before the impact of income tax expense (benefit), plus
interest expense, amortization and depreciation, impairment expense, other
non-cash charges, stock-based compensation expense, and restructuring expense
minus interest income. Adjusted EBITDA Margin represents Adjusted EBITDA as a
percentage of revenues for each period. These metrics are supplemental measures
of our operating performance that are neither required by, nor presented in
accordance with, GAAP. These measures should not be considered as alternatives
to any performance measures derived in accordance with GAAP. We present Adjusted
EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin because management uses these measures as key
performance indicators, and we believe they are measures frequently used by
securities analysts, investors and other parties to evaluate companies in our
industry. These measures have limitations as analytical tools and should not be
considered in isolation or as substitutes for analysis of our results as
reported under GAAP.

The following table presents a reconciliation of income before income taxes, the
most directly comparable measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, to Adjusted
EBITDA, and the calculation of Adjusted EBITDA Margin for the three months ended
October 3, 2020, as well as a reconciliation of our preliminary estimated income
before income taxes range to our preliminary estimated Adjusted EBITDA range and
the corresponding calculations of Adjusted EBITDA margin for the three months
ended October 2, 2021. The historical financial information for the three months
ended October 3, 2020 has been derived from the unaudited consolidated financial
statements and the accompanying notes included in our Quarterly Report on Form
10-Q for the period ended October 3, 2020.


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                                                     For the Three Months Ended
                                              October 2, 2021              October 3, 2020(1)
                                                 Estimated                       Actual
($ in millions):                          Low                   High
Income before income taxes            $     38                $  43       $             9
Plus:
Interest expense                             6                    6                     8
Amortization and depreciation                7                    7                    10
Impairment expense                           1                    1                     5
Other non-cash charges                      (1)                  (1)                    2
Stock-based compensation                     3                    3                     3
Restructuring expense                        5                    5                     6
Less:
Interest income                              -                    -                     -
Adjusted EBITDA                       $     59                $  64       $            43

Net sales                             $    490                $ 494       $           435
Adjusted EBITDA Margin                      12   %               13  %                 10    %

(1) Prior period amounts have been adjusted to conform to the current period presentation.

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The following table presents a reconciliation of our preliminary estimated
income before income taxes range to our preliminary estimated Adjusted EBITDA
range and the corresponding calculations of Adjusted EBITDA margin for the LTM
period.

                                           LTM Period Ended October 2, 2021
                                                      Estimated
($ in millions):                          Low                               High
Income before income taxes         $           34                        $    39
Plus:
Interest expense                               29                             29
Amortization and depreciation                  33                             33
Impairment expense                             13                             13
Other non-cash charges                          -                              -
Stock-based compensation                        9                              9
Restructuring expense                          30                             30
Less:
Interest income                                 1                              1
Adjusted EBITDA                    $          147                        $   152

Net sales                          $        1,792                        $ 1,796
Adjusted EBITDA Margin                          8   %                          8  %





The following table presents preliminary estimated total liquidity, consisting
of cash and cash equivalents and availability under our revolving credit
facility as of October 2, 2021. The historical total liquidity as of July 3,
2021 has been derived from the unaudited consolidated financial statements and
the accompanying notes included in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the
period ended July 3, 2021. As of October 2, 2021, we had $33 million of
outstanding borrowings under our revolving credit facility.

                                                      As of October 2, 2021            As of July 3, 2021
($ in millions):                                            Estimated                        Actual
Cash and cash equivalents                           $                  182          $                 252
Revolving credit facility availability              $                  123          $                  42
Liquidity                                           $                  305          $                 294



Forward Looking Statements

This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements within the
meaning of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All
statements, other than historical facts, that address activities that the
Company assumes, plans, expects, believes, intends or anticipates (and other
similar expressions) will, should or may occur in the future are forward-looking
statements. The forward-looking statements are based on management's current
. . .


Item 8.01  Other Events.

Notes Offering

On November 1 2021, we issued a press release announcing that we had commenced
an underwritten registered public offering (the "Notes Offering") of $125
million aggregate principal amount of senior notes due 2026 (the "Notes"),
subject to market and certain other conditions. The Company expects to use the
net proceeds of the Notes Offering to repay outstanding borrowings under the
Company's Term Credit Agreement. The offering of the Notes is being made
pursuant to the Company's shelf registration statement on Form S-3, which was
declared effective by the SEC on September 30, 2021, including a base
prospectus, and a preliminary prospectus supplement related to the offering
previously filed with the SEC. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as
Exhibit 99.1.

This Current Report on Form 8-K shall not constitute an offer to sell or the
solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall there be any sale of the Notes in any
state or jurisdiction in which such offer, sale or solicitation would be
unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any
such state or jurisdiction.


Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.

(d) Exhibits

Exhibit No. Document Description


           99.1     Press Release, dated November 1, 2021.
              104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).



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