Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial
Condition.
In connection with the Notes Offering (described in Item 8.01 below),Fossil Group, Inc. (the "Company", "we" or "us") is providing the following preliminary estimated unaudited financial information.
Preliminary Estimated Unaudited Financial Results
Our financial results as of and for the three months endedOctober 2, 2021 are not yet complete. The forward-looking information presented below reflects our preliminary estimated unaudited results based solely on information available to us as of the date of this Current Report on Form 8-K. We have provided ranges for certain items rather than specific amounts since our financial closing procedures are not yet complete as of and for the three months endedOctober 2, 2021 . Actual results are not expected to be publicly available until we file our consolidated financial statements and related notes as of for the three months endedOctober 2, 2021 with theSecurities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"). These preliminary estimates do not present a comprehensive statement of our consolidated results for the three months endedOctober 2, 2021 and should not be used as a substitute for interim financial statements prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles inthe United States ("GAAP"). You should not place undue reliance on these estimates. This preliminary estimated unaudited financial information has been prepared by and is the responsibility of our management. Our independent registered public accounting firm,Deloitte & Touche, LLP , has not audited, reviewed, compiled nor performed any procedures with respect to the preliminary estimated unaudited financial results and therefore does not express an opinion or any other form of assurance with respect to these preliminary estimates. We currently expect that our final results of operations and other data will be consistent with the estimates set forth in this Current Report on Form 8-K, however such estimates are preliminary and our actual results of operations and other data could differ materially from these preliminary estimates due to the completion of our financial closing procedures, final adjustments, review procedures to be performed by our management and audit committee and other developments that may arise between now and the time our unaudited interim consolidated financial statements as of and for the three months endedOctober 2, 2021 are issued.
We expect our results to include:
•Net sales within the range of$490 to$494 million for the three months endedOctober 2, 2021 , an increase of approximately 13% versus$435 million for the three months endedOctober 3, 2020 and within the range of$1,792 to$1,796 million for the twelve months endedOctober 2, 2021 (the "LTM period"); •Income before income taxes within the range of$38 million and$43 million for the three months endedOctober 2, 2021 , an increase of approximately 322% to 378% versus$9 million for the three months endedOctober 3, 2020 and within the range of$34 million and$39 million for the LTM period; and •Adjusted EBITDA within the range of$59 million and$64 million for the three months endedOctober 2, 2021 , an increase of approximately 37% to 49% versus$43 million for the three months endedOctober 3, 2020 and within the range of$147 and$152 million for the LTM period. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. We define Adjusted EBITDA as our income (loss) before the impact of income tax expense (benefit), plus interest expense, amortization and depreciation, impairment expense, other non-cash charges, stock-based compensation expense, and restructuring expense minus interest income. Adjusted EBITDA Margin represents Adjusted EBITDA as a percentage of revenues for each period. These metrics are supplemental measures of our operating performance that are neither required by, nor presented in accordance with, GAAP. These measures should not be considered as alternatives to any performance measures derived in accordance with GAAP. We present Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA Margin because management uses these measures as key performance indicators, and we believe they are measures frequently used by securities analysts, investors and other parties to evaluate companies in our industry. These measures have limitations as analytical tools and should not be considered in isolation or as substitutes for analysis of our results as reported under GAAP. The following table presents a reconciliation of income before income taxes, the most directly comparable measure calculated in accordance with GAAP, to Adjusted EBITDA, and the calculation of Adjusted EBITDA Margin for the three months endedOctober 3, 2020 , as well as a reconciliation of our preliminary estimated income before income taxes range to our preliminary estimated Adjusted EBITDA range and the corresponding calculations of Adjusted EBITDA margin for the three months endedOctober 2, 2021 . The historical financial information for the three months endedOctober 3, 2020 has been derived from the unaudited consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes included in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period endedOctober 3, 2020 . --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For the Three Months Ended October 2, 2021 October 3, 2020(1) Estimated Actual ($ in millions): Low High Income before income taxes$ 38 $ 43 $ 9 Plus: Interest expense 6 6 8 Amortization and depreciation 7 7 10 Impairment expense 1 1 5 Other non-cash charges (1) (1) 2 Stock-based compensation 3 3 3 Restructuring expense 5 5 6 Less: Interest income - - - Adjusted EBITDA$ 59 $ 64 $ 43 Net sales$ 490 $ 494 $ 435 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 12 % 13 % 10 %
(1) Prior period amounts have been adjusted to conform to the current period presentation.
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The following table presents a reconciliation of our preliminary estimated income before income taxes range to our preliminary estimated Adjusted EBITDA range and the corresponding calculations of Adjusted EBITDA margin for the LTM period. LTM Period Ended October 2, 2021 Estimated ($ in millions): Low High Income before income taxes $ 34$ 39 Plus: Interest expense 29 29 Amortization and depreciation 33 33 Impairment expense 13 13 Other non-cash charges - - Stock-based compensation 9 9 Restructuring expense 30 30 Less: Interest income 1 1 Adjusted EBITDA $ 147$ 152 Net sales$ 1,792 $ 1,796 Adjusted EBITDA Margin 8 % 8 % The following table presents preliminary estimated total liquidity, consisting of cash and cash equivalents and availability under our revolving credit facility as ofOctober 2, 2021 . The historical total liquidity as ofJuly 3, 2021 has been derived from the unaudited consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes included in our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period endedJuly 3, 2021 . As ofOctober 2, 2021 , we had$33 million of outstanding borrowings under our revolving credit facility. As of October 2, 2021 As of July 3, 2021 ($ in millions): Estimated Actual Cash and cash equivalents $ 182 $ 252 Revolving credit facility availability $ 123 $ 42 Liquidity $ 305 $ 294 Forward Looking Statements This Current Report on Form 8-K contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of theU.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements, other than historical facts, that address activities that the Company assumes, plans, expects, believes, intends or anticipates (and other similar expressions) will, should or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements are based on management's current . . . Item 8.01 Other Events. Notes Offering On November 1 2021, we issued a press release announcing that we had commenced an underwritten registered public offering (the "Notes Offering") of$125 million aggregate principal amount of senior notes due 2026 (the "Notes"), subject to market and certain other conditions. The Company expects to use the net proceeds of the Notes Offering to repay outstanding borrowings under the Company's Term Credit Agreement. The offering of the Notes is being made pursuant to the Company's shelf registration statement on Form S-3, which was declared effective by theSEC onSeptember 30, 2021 , including a base prospectus, and a preliminary prospectus supplement related to the offering previously filed with theSEC . A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. This Current Report on Form 8-K shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall there be any sale of the Notes in any state or jurisdiction in which such offer, sale or solicitation would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such state or jurisdiction.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits.
(d) Exhibits
Exhibit No. Document Description
99.1 Press Release, datedNovember 1, 2021 . 104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (embedded within the Inline XBRL document).
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